Coproducing Sea Ice Predictions with Stakeholders Using Simulation.
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Forecasts of sea ice evolution in the Arctic region for several months ahead can be of considerable socioeconomic value for a diverse range of marine sectors and for local community supply logistics. However, subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts represent a significant technical challenge, and translating user needs into scientifically manageable procedures and robust user confidence requires collaboration among a range of stakeholders. We developed and tested a novel, transdisciplinary coproduction approach that combined socioeconomic scenarios and participatory, research-driven simulation gaming to test a new S2S sea ice forecast system with experienced mariners in the cruise tourism sector. Our custom-developed computerized simulation game known as ICEWISE integrated sea ice parameters, forecast technology, and human factors as a participatory environment for stakeholder engagement. We explored the value of applications-relevant S2S sea ice prediction and linked uncertainty infor.....
JournalWeather Climate and Society
Sustainable Development Goals (SDG)14.2
Spatial CoverageArctic Region
CitationBlair, B., Müller, M., Palerme, C., Blair, R., Crookall, D., Knol-Kauffman, M. and Lamers, M. (2022) Coproducing Sea Ice Predictions with Stakeholders using Simulation. Weather, Climate, and Society, 14, pp.399–413. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-21-0048.1
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